Luiz F. Nunes da Silva / Instruments

How much can be at stake in this dispute?

Six facts of the case. The lost contribution, the whole calculation and the assumption that weighs most.

QPC-01 v0.3 · preliminary estimate

The case

Example data. Replace with your dispute’s.

The termination, interruption or act that caused the loss.

R$

Average of the previous twelve months, for the affected line of business.

R$

Zero if revenue stopped.

%

Revenue minus variable costs, over revenue. Not net margin.

months since the event

How long the loss extends. For a contract, the remaining term.

% a month

Brings future losses to today’s value. The 1% default is a declared choice.

Base date: (today).

What this page does not have

The calculation above is the instrument’s own. What it lacks is the layer of documentation, attribution and responsibility of a professional application.

You are here

Preliminary estimate

  • Six fields, reported averages
  • Calculation and sensitivity visible
  • Assumptions declared by the user
  • Unstamped
On request

QPC-01 Calculation Memorial

  • Full monthly series of the case
  • Each assumption with author and source
  • All sensitivities and structural assumptions
  • Version stamp, checkable by third parties
On request

Professional application

  • Real documents and data checked
  • Alternative counterfactual and adversarial review
  • Response to an opposing expert report
  • Economist responsible

Enquiries: contact@luizfnunesdasilva.studio

What the instrument measures

The flow of contribution lost because of a dated event: the distance between expected and observed revenue, times the margin, brought to the base date.

Loss already due enters at nominal value. Future loss enters at present value and assumes zero revenue in months not yet observed. The sum is called the composite total and is not a total present value.

What it does not measure

  • Not an expert report or opinion, and it does not fix damages.
  • It does not estimate the probability of success.
  • It does not measure company value or partnership shares.
  • It does not inflation-adjust the realized loss.
  • The range is exploratory, not a confidence interval.

Where the method comes from

Working Paper 01, with DOI and open licence: doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22998350.

Here expected revenue is the reported average, held over the horizon. The memorial uses the case’s monthly series and trend window.

For the whole portfolio: LEQ-01.